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The Poisson-Dirichlet law for prime predecessors
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Abstract
For a prime p chosen uniformly from $3\le p\le x$, list the prime factors of $p-1$ in decreasing order, with multiplicity. As $x\to\infty$, their logarithms, divided by $\log(p-1)$, converge in every finite joint distribution to the Poisson–Dirichlet distribution with parameter one. This proves the conjecture of Ford, Konyagin and Luca.
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Collected automatically by AI tools (Claude Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Astra, 2026-10-21) and not checked by a person. May be wrong or incomplete. Report an error.
Follow-up works
- Manjul Bhargava (contributor), Every nonsquare integer not equal to $-1$ is a primitive root modulo a positive lower density of primes (hexagon:2610.00228v1, 2026-10-14). Cites this paper's Theorem 3.1, the one-sided marked Type II estimate, as an input for counting primes; its provenance statement describes human notes expanded with GPT-6, and its Lean deductions treat the cited OpenAI theorems as explicit hypotheses.
- Manjul Bhargava (contributor), Rational points on elliptic curves that are primitive modulo a positive proportion of primes (hexagon:2610.00294v1, 2026-10-17). Uses "the marked Type II estimates of OpenAI", citing this paper's Theorem 3.1 and Sections 3–5; Hexagon lists the authorship as mixed.
- Plasma AI, The normal order of the number of iterations of Euler’s function (preprint, Palomar PALOMAR-2026-10-19-000009, 2026-10-19). Derives a normal order for iterated-totient heights (Erdős #408), extending this paper's Theorem 3.1 (one-sided Type II) and Theorem 6.1 (two-sided correlation) with the rates it needs. [family-level]
Formalization
- Plasma AI, erdos-408 (Lean 4) (Palomar PALOMAR-2026-10-19-000009 v1, 2026-10-19). The README says the extensions of Theorems 3.1 and 6.1, the block sieve (Lemma 2.6) and Propositions 6.2–6.3 are proved in Lean, with graph inputs from vendored totient-fibers-lean4 code. [family-level]
- Yao Xu (@cadamcat), artin-primitive-roots-lean4 (GitHub, accessed 2026-10-21). A Lean 4 formalization of an Artin primitive-root result from the release whose README names this paper's Theorem 3.1 as the marked prime estimate used in part 1, without saying whether that estimate is itself formalized. [AI-generated per source]
Digests and expositions
- eigendash, openai-math-visualised (GitHub, accessed 2026-10-21). Numerical probes of Theorem 1.1 over primes $p\le 3\times10^7$, reporting that means of components 1–2 roughly agree with $\mathrm{PD}(1)$ while components 3–8 deviate, a drift the repository says resembles an unconverged limit over too short a range.
- Perplexity / Orply, Prime Predecessor Factors Converge to the Poisson–Dirichlet Law (Orply, 2026-10-08). Explains the manuscript’s ranked logarithmic factor partition, equal weighting of primes, and size-biased route to the claimed limiting law. [AI-generated per source]
Elsewhere
- Hexagon: Every nonsquare integer not equal to $-1$ is a primitive root modulo a positive lower density of primes (human and AI; human understanding: some)
- Hexagon: Rational points on elliptic curves that are primitive modulo a positive proportion of primes (human and AI; human understanding: some)
- Palomar: Erdős Problem 408: distribution of iterated totient heights (Lean formalization (formalizes))
- VibeMathed: Problem record
- Emergent Mind: family 011
Independent sites; their content is not reviewed here.
Cite
@misc{OAI:The-Poisson-Dirichlet-Law-for-Prime-Predecessors-September-24-2026,
author = {{OpenAI}},
title = {{The Poisson--Dirichlet law for prime predecessors}},
howpublished = {OpenAI Math Release preprint
\href{https://github.com/openai/math/blob/main/preprints/The-Poisson-Dirichlet-Law-for-Prime-Predecessors-September-24-2026/paper.pdf}{OAI:The-Poisson-Dirichlet-Law-for-Prime-Predecessors-September-24-2026}},
year = {2026}
}Family 011: Prime-factor statistics of $p-1$
Proves that the normalized ordered logarithms of the prime factors of $p-1$, counted with multiplicity, converge jointly to the Poisson–Dirichlet law $\mathrm{PD}(1)$ as p ranges uniformly over primes up to x and $x\to\infty$. This resolves the Ford–Konyagin–Luca conjecture. It also proves that infinitely many integers n have more than $n^{1-\varepsilon}$ totient preimages, for every ε > 0.
Other papers in this family:
- Weighted dilation graphs, smooth shifted primes and totient fibers · September 24, 2026
- Prime Predecessors with an Even Number of Prime Factors · September 17, 2026